Speculative trade under ambiguity
نویسندگان
چکیده
Ambiguous beliefs may lead to speculative trade and bubbles. We demonstrate this by showing that the classical Harrison Kreps (1978) example of among agents with heterogeneous can be replicated having common but ambiguous beliefs. More precisely, we show same asset prices pattern obtained in equilibrium agents' recursive multiple-prior expected utilities set priors. While learning about true probabilities dividends makes bubbles vanish long run under beliefs, it not do so Ambiguity need disappear over time, persist.
منابع مشابه
Speculative Trade under Ambiguity
Ambiguous beliefs may lead to speculative trade and speculative bubbles. We demonstrate this by showing that the classical Harrison and Kreps (1978) example of speculative trade among agents with heterogeneous beliefs can be replicated with agents having common ambiguous beliefs. More precisely, we show that the same asset prices and pattern of trade can be obtained in equilibrium with agents’ ...
متن کاملSpeculative Trade under Ambiguity ∗ Jan
Ambiguous beliefs may lead to speculative trade and speculative bubbles. We demonstrate this by showing that the classical Harrison and Kreps (1978) example of speculative trade among agents with heterogeneous beliefs can be replicated with agents having common ambiguous beliefs. More precisely, we show that the same asset prices and pattern of trade can be obtained in equilibrium with agents’ ...
متن کاملSpeculative Trade under Unawareness: The Infinite Case∗
We prove a “no-speculative-trade” theorem under unawareness for the infinite case. This generalizes the result for the finite case by Heifetz, Meier, and Schipper (2013).
متن کاملUnawareness, beliefs, and speculative trade
We define a generalized state-space model with interactive unawareness and probabilistic beliefs. Such models are desirable for potential applications of asymmetric unawareness. Applying our unawareness belief structures, we show that the common prior assumption is too weak to rule out speculative trade in all states. Yet, we prove a generalized “No-speculative-trade” theorem according to which...
متن کاملPortfolio Choice Under Ambiguity
This paper provides an intersection between portfolio choice theory and the elicitation of preferences under uncertainty. Theories of financial markets build on portfolio choice theory, which generally assumes that preferences are of a particularly simple kind, while research on preferences has revealed that people have more sophisticated preferences. This paper brings the two fields together b...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Journal of Economic Theory
سال: 2022
ISSN: ['1095-7235', '0022-0531']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jet.2021.105200