Speculative trade under ambiguity

نویسندگان

چکیده

Ambiguous beliefs may lead to speculative trade and bubbles. We demonstrate this by showing that the classical Harrison Kreps (1978) example of among agents with heterogeneous can be replicated having common but ambiguous beliefs. More precisely, we show same asset prices pattern obtained in equilibrium agents' recursive multiple-prior expected utilities set priors. While learning about true probabilities dividends makes bubbles vanish long run under beliefs, it not do so Ambiguity need disappear over time, persist.

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Speculative Trade under Ambiguity

Ambiguous beliefs may lead to speculative trade and speculative bubbles. We demonstrate this by showing that the classical Harrison and Kreps (1978) example of speculative trade among agents with heterogeneous beliefs can be replicated with agents having common ambiguous beliefs. More precisely, we show that the same asset prices and pattern of trade can be obtained in equilibrium with agents’ ...

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Journal of Economic Theory

سال: 2022

ISSN: ['1095-7235', '0022-0531']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jet.2021.105200